Hand Where I Give Opponent Too Much Credit & Miss Value 💸

Resorts World Casino, NL 200, 9-handed

I am running hot and sitting on 250bb on a very sweet table. People are limping with all sorts of silly hands, even 4-2 offsuit, so after two of them do it again, I bump it to 7 bb from the button with A♥️9♠️, expecting to take down the pot right away.

Somehow, a guy, who recently joined the table and is sitting on 200 big blinds calls me. I don’t have much on a him yet, expect for that he plays many hands, calls and stabs with all sorts of draws. I looked him up with two pair a small pot a few minutes before, he bet his gutshot on the turn and rivered a straight on a J-rag suited.

Flop comes J♥️9♦️3♣️ 
My opponent loudly says check and looks at me attentively. I am sure he hit this board, because in the previous hands, when he missed, he checked by tapping and was looking indifferent. He might have a nine with a worse kicker, I could bet anyway but decide to check. 

Turn comes 9♥️ and he checks again. 
I assume, I must have misread him or he flopped a straight draw. I bet 9 bb and he says:
- Hmmm, nine hundred (pesos) for a nine? So ace-jack not good?
He tanks for a little and then makes it 17bb more to go.

Ok, here is the stonecoldest verbal tell of Manila players, which certain 100% of the time:
When you bet and they ask “So ace-jack *any exact hand* is no good?”, they actually have a better hand than the one they mentioned, but know that they might be beat. 

For example, if they ask, if AQ is no good on a Q-high board, facing a raise, they never have AQ and more likely to have pocket kings. 
I don’t really know what they think they are trying to accomplish by this and how they interpret the opponents’ reactions; they aren’t using this a deception, most of the time they are genuinely not sure what you have and how they should proceed with their hand. They tend to call anyway. 

I would always put him on at least a nine after he raises, but after what he said I know for sure that he has ace-jack beat.
He is super unlikely to be overlimpimg pocket jacks in mid position (but do you see this play and even worse plays in Manila sometimes).
 What kind of nine would overlimp-call a squeeze? Nine-shit suited. J 9 is possible too, but there are only two suited combination of that left, so unless he has them or pocket threes (this hand would make perfect sense), I have him crushed.

I don’t really want to see a 10 or an 8 on the river, but here comes an amazing A♣️ and I fill up. My opponent bets 30bb and the question is, how much I should raise. If he has a boat, he’ll reraise all-in anyway, but I am pretty sure he is not that strong and has a 9-10 or 9-8 suited. My logic is that he might be able to get away from it if I raise too much, so I only make it 40 bb more. He snaps and mucks what he said was 9-6 suited. 

The guy is friendly and chatty so I engage him into my standard post-hand table talk that I use to get into a typical opponent’s head.
- Damn, I should have raised more... I was putting you on a week nine, did not want to scare you. How much more would you call?
- I already bet 30bb, so 70 more I would call. If you push all-in I might call. (I remind you, we we both 200++ bb deep!)
- Really? But what do you think I could be raising big with? A bluff? 
- Maybe. Or maybe ace-jack. I though you don’t believe I have a nine. But I never put you on a nine here. You raised big preflop, right?
*Right, nobody ever squeezes preflop with weird hands!*
- But I might have pocket jacks or aces!
- Probably.

CONCLUSION 

My opponent gave away two live tells in one minute and I still fail to identify him as fishy and give him credit for being able to fold trips instead. This is sad.

I think that my solid table image might scare him, but forget that he arrived too late to see the three hours of Russian domination. The guy was more likely seeing me as a blonde, who paid him off a few hands earlier - and yes, he was absolutely right that I am not supposed to have a lot of nines here. Little did he know, I could have enough fives and deuces here too. 

My logic would be perfectly right if had I been up against a nit, who would fold a straight, facing a raise on a paired board without thinking too long. 

As for me, I did not think enough and missed the maximum value versus a fishy player, which a crime against one’s own winrate.